Progreso vs Miramar: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 17, 2011 at 07:10 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Miramar?
Progreso won 1-0 on December 17, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Miramar have 4, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | Rocha(away) | 5-3 | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Tacuarembo(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Juventud(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Juventud(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Atenas(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 11; Miramar score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/11 | 4/11 |
| Miramar | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Miramar | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Miramar | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy