Progreso vs Rocha: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 21, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Rocha?
Progreso won 1-0 on September 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 90′Marcelo Damián Bautista LópezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rocha have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2014 | Villa Teresa(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| May 17, 2014 | Cerrito(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| May 14, 2014 | Atenas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| May 10, 2014 | Tacuarembo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2014 | Rocha(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2014 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jun 7, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| May 24, 2014 | Canadian(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| May 17, 2014 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rocha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2014 | Progreso 4-2 Rocha | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Rocha 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| May 12, 2012 | Progreso 3-0 Rocha | Segunda División |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Rocha 3-5 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rocha score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Rocha | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy