Provincial Ovalle vs Colina: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRelegation Group - 5Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Diaguita, Ovalle
Full time
What was the result of Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
Provincial Ovalle won 1-0 on September 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 56′R. TarifeñoProvincial Ovalle
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Provincial Ovalle win at 38%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Provincial Ovalle vs Colina
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Provincial Ovalle
- 11L. Maluenda
- 23R. Tarifeño
- 28Benjamin Cortes
- 29C. Duma
- 5Erick Millalen
- 13M. Maureira
- 20N. Rivera
- 2L. Arce
- 4Sebastian Contreras
- 6Jaime Soto
- 1K. Catalan
Colina
- 11Cristian Alarcon
- 32M. Munoz
- 7L. Naranjo
- 8A. Hormazabal
- 10F. Gutierrez
- 3C. Finch
- 4M. Ochoa
- 5A. Contreras
- 15C. Evans
- 24M. Larenas
- 13J. Echave
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Provincial Ovalle have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Colina have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Santiago Morning(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real San Joaquín(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | General Velásquez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Colina(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Santiago City(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lota Schwager(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Santiago Morning(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Rengo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Real San Joaquín(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Provincial Ovalle(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Provincial Ovalle win, 0 draws, 1 Colina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Provincial Ovalle 2-1 Colina | Segunda División |
| May 2, 2026 | Colina 2-0 Provincial Ovalle | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Provincial Ovalle vs Colina on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Provincial Ovalle score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colina score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial Ovalle | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Colina | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Provincial Ovalle sit 14th in Segunda División (6 points from 12 matches) and Colina sit 11th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Provincial Ovalle vs Colina?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy