Provincial vs Barrancas UMET: result 4-1 and analysis
Torneo Promocional AmateurClausura - 13Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Provincial vs Barrancas UMET?
Provincial won 4-1 on October 11, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Provincial have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Barrancas UMET have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2024 | Ezeiza(away) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Everton La Plata(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Belgrano Zarate(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 13, 2024 | SAT Moreno(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Defensores Glew(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2024 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico Pilar(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Nautico Hacoaj(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Provincial wins, 0 draws, 1 Barrancas UMET win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2024 | Barrancas UMET 2-1 Provincial | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Barrancas UMET vs Provincial on May 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Provincial score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barrancas UMET score 0.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Barrancas UMET | 0.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Provincial sit 17th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (7 points from 14 matches) and Barrancas UMET sit 4th (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barrancas UMET | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 31 |
| 17 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy