Provincial vs Estrella de Berisso: result 0-1 and analysis
Torneo Promocional AmateurApertura - 5Kick-off on March 23, 2024 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Provincial vs Estrella de Berisso?
Estrella de Berisso won 0-1 on March 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′?Estrella de Berisso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Provincial have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Estrella de Berisso have 2, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Atletico Pilar(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Nautico Hacoaj(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 1-4 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | Deportivo Metalurgico(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Atletico Pilar(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
How many goals should we expect?
Provincial score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Estrella de Berisso score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Estrella de Berisso | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2 | 2/4 | 0/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Provincial sit 16th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (7 points from 12 matches) and Estrella de Berisso sit 12th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Provincial | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Estrella de Berisso | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 16 | Provincial | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy