PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and Persepam Madura Utd (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Persepam Madura Utd have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSM Makassar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Persepam Madura Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd 2-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | PSM Makassar 1-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-3 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | PSM Makassar 2-0 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd 2-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | PSM Makassar 0-2 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd?
- The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd played?
- PSM Makassar vs Persepam Madura Utd is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.