Match

PSS Sleman vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta

PSS SlemanArema FC

The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSS Sleman vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate PSS Sleman (1,764) and Arema FC (1,747).

PSS Sleman win46 %
Draw26 %
Arema FC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSS Sleman have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSS Sleman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Garudayaksa(home)2-2Liga 2
May 3, 2026PSIS Semarang(home)3-0Liga 2
Apr 26, 2026Persiba Balikpapan(away)1-1Liga 2
Apr 20, 2026Persiku Kudus(home)2-1Liga 2
Apr 11, 2026Barito Putera(away)0-1Liga 2
Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PSS Sleman win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arema FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2025Arema FC 6-2 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Sep 20, 2024PSS Sleman 3-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Apr 15, 2024PSS Sleman 4-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Sep 30, 2023Arema FC 2-1 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Jan 26, 2023PSS Sleman 2-0 Arema FCLiga 1
Aug 5, 2022Arema FC 0-0 PSS SlemanLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSS Sleman on Feb 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSS Sleman1.80.859/157/15
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSS Sleman vs Arema FC?
The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arema FC.
Where and when is PSS Sleman vs Arema FC played?
PSS Sleman vs Arema FC is played on November 20, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maguwoharjo, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: PSS Sleman and Arema FC

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