Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Dumitru Tică Popescu, Pucioasa
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pucioasa. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,341).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pucioasa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 0-7 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pucioasa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Flacăra Moreni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa 0-7 Flacăra Moreni | Cupa României |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Flacăra Moreni 5-2 Pucioasa | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Pucioasa 0-3 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Flacăra Moreni 2-2 Pucioasa | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pucioasa 2-1 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Pucioasa 3-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pucioasa score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pucioasa | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pucioasa.
- Where and when is Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Pucioasa vs Flacăra Moreni is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Tică Popescu, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.