Puebla vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 28, 2018 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
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What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Puebla won 2-1 on July 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 13′Daniel Arreola ArgüelloPuebla (pen.)
- 32′J. TorresPuebla
- 39′R. SambuezaToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Toluca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2018 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Lobos Buap(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Club America(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2018 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2018 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-6 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2018 | Monarcas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 21, 2018 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2018 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| May 13, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2018 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Puebla win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Toluca 1-3 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Toluca | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy