Puebla vs Toluca: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2020 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
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What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Puebla won 4-1 on August 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 20′William Fernando da SilvaToluca
- 31′S. OrmeñoPuebla
- 40′D. ÁlvarezPuebla
- 81′P. GonzálezPuebla
- 90′A. EscotoPuebla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Toluca have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2020 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2020 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2020 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Atlas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Puebla win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy