Qabala vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-3 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ
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What was the result of Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Neftchi Baku won 1-3 on March 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′S. KeitaQabala (pen.)
- 22′B. SambouNeftchi Baku
- 69′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 77′M. MammadovNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qabala have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-7 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Turan(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Turan(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Araz(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Qabala win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Neftchi Baku 1-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qabala 0-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Qabala 0-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 3-1 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Qabala 0-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 2-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qabala on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qabala score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qabala sit 11th in Premyer Liqa (0 points from 2 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Qabala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy