Qabala vs Qarabag: result 1-3 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 5, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ
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What was the result of Qabala vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-3 on March 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′I. AlimiQabala
- 38′R. ŞeydayevQarabag (pen.)
- 56′M. QurbanlıQarabag
- 68′R. ŞeydayevQarabag (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qabala have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | Səbail(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Zira(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Zira(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Gent(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Qabala win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | Qabala 1-0 Qarabag | Cup |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Qarabag 1-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Qarabag 2-2 Qabala | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Qabala 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Qarabag 5-0 Qabala | Cup |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Qabala 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qabala score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qabala sit 11th in Premyer Liqa (0 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Qabala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy