Qabala vs Safa Baku: result 2-1 and analysis
CupRound of 16Kick-off on December 4, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ
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What was the result of Qabala vs Safa Baku?
Qabala won 2-1 on December 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′I. SangaréQabala
- 6′626544Safa Baku
- 53′I. SangaréQabala
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qabala have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Safa Baku have 8, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Mingəçevir(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Şahdağ(away) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Mingəçevir(away) | 3-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Cəbrayıl(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Səbail(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Qabala score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Safa Baku score 2.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Safa Baku | 2.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy