Qarabag vs Araz: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 20, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Araz?
Qarabag won 2-1 on August 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′A. DiakhabyQarabag
- 57′M. KuzmanovićAraz
- 90′A. ZoubirQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Araz have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2023 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Turan(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 10, 2023 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Zira(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2023 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Turan(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 23, 2023 | Zaqatala(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 16, 2023 | Neftçi II(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 8, 2023 | Səbail II(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Araz | 2.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Araz sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy