Qarabag vs Araz: result 5-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 14, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Araz?
Qarabag won 5-1 on December 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′T. BayramovQarabag
- 41′N. AxundzadəQarabag
- 57′Joni MontielQarabag (pen.)
- 72′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 76′Ramon MachadoAraz (pen.)
- 90′T. BayramovQarabag (pen.)
Official lineup for Qarabag vs Araz
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Qarabag
- 7N. Axundzadə
- 15Leandro Andrade
- 22M. Qurbanlı
- 77R. Şeydayev
- 9Joni Montiel
- 35Pedro Bicalho
- 3S. Mmaee
- 18Dani Bolt
- 27T. Bayramov
- 55B. Hüseynov
- 99M. Kochalski
Araz
- 11B. Simakala
- 70C. Boli
- 6Patrick Andrade
- 8C. Diniyev
- 23Nuno Rodrigues
- 29Wanderson
- 3B. Həsənalızadə
- 17I. Paro
- 34U. Abbasov
- 77Bruno
- 12C. Avram
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Araz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | Ajax(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Qabala(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Turan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Qarabag wins, 0 draws, 1 Araz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Araz 0-5 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 11, 2025 | Qarabag 2-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Qarabag 3-0 Araz | Cup |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Araz 1-0 Qarabag | Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Araz 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Qarabag 2-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Araz | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 3rd in Premyer Liqa (16 points from 6 matches) and Araz sit 12th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Qarabag vs Araz?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy