Qarabag vs Bakı: result 4-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 7, 2015 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Bakı?
Qarabag won 4-1 on February 7, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 2′M. MedvedevQarabag
- 7′A. KərimovQarabag (o.g.)
- 22′N. NovruzovBakı (pen.)
- 26′R. AlmeydaQarabag (pen.)
- 83′R. AlmeydaQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bakı have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 18, 2014 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Qabala(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 11, 2014 | Inter(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | Qabala(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2014 | Simurq(away) | 2-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 17, 2014 | Şüvəlan(home) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Sumqayıt(away) | 4-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bakı win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | Bakı 2-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Qarabag 2-2 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
| May 2, 2014 | Bakı 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Qarabag 4-0 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Bakı 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2013 | Qarabag 3-0 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bakı score 1.0 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bakı | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy