Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 15, 2017 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Qarabag vs FC Copenhagen?
Qarabag won 1-0 on August 15, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 25′M. EmreliQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; FC Copenhagen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2017 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 1, 2017 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2017 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 18, 2017 | Samtredia(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 11, 2017 | Samtredia(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2017 | AC Horsens(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Brondby(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2017 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2017 | Hobro(home) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| Jul 25, 2017 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Copenhagen score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Copenhagen | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 22nd in UEFA Champions League (10 points from 8 matches) and FC Copenhagen sit 31st (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy