Qarabag vs Kapaz: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 25, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Qarabag won 1-0 on February 25, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 85′M. EmreliQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kapaz have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | Səbail(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Qabala(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Sumqayıt(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Dec 11, 2017 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Dec 8, 2017 | Səbail(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2017 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kapaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Kapaz 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Qarabag 2-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Qarabag 2-1 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Kapaz 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Qarabag 1-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Kapaz 1-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kapaz score 0.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Kapaz | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Kapaz sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy