Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 4-1 and analysis
CupSemi-finalsKick-off on April 24, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag won 4-1 on April 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′JuninhoQarabag
- 62′Q. QarayevQarabag (o.g.)
- 64′R. MirzovNeftchi Baku
- 70′JuninhoQarabag
- 77′N. AxundzadəQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Qabala(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Səbail(home) | 4-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Kapaz(away) | 6-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Zira(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Araz(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Qarabag(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Qabala(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Cup |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 1-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 2, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 2-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Apr 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 3.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 3.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy