Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 2-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 02:44 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag won 2-0 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′T. BayramovQarabag (pen.)
- 84′C. DuránQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Imisli FK(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Turan(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 5-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | MOIK(home) | 6-2 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qabala(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Araz(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Qarabag win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Qarabag 3-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2024 | Qarabag 5-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy