Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 3-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag won 3-2 on April 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 15′Muarem MuaremQarabag
- 29′C. TağıyevQarabag
- 32′A. AbdullayevNeftchi Baku
- 59′N. CanalesNeftchi Baku
- 69′L. GeorgeQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2015 | Simurq(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Apr 17, 2015 | Simurq(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2015 | Simurq(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Apr 9, 2015 | Şüvəlan(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2015 | Bakı(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2015 | İnter Bakı(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Apr 17, 2015 | Qabala(home) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2015 | İnter Bakı(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Apr 9, 2015 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2015 | Simurq(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Neftchi Baku 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2014 | Neftchi Baku 1-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Feb 19, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy