Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on February 13, 2021 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Neftchi Baku won 1-2 on February 13, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 28′N. ƏləsgərovNeftchi Baku
- 57′M. EmreliQarabag
- 75′N. ƏləsgərovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Qabala(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Qabala(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jan 28, 2021 | Səbail(home) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Zira(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Zira(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Zira(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Səbail(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2020 | Neftchi Baku 0-6 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 11, 2019 | Neftchi Baku 2-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Nov 8, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy