Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 4-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 21, 2022 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag won 4-1 on May 21, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 6′Patrick AndradeQarabag
- 10′KadyQarabag
- 14′F. YusifliQarabag (o.g.)
- 57′I. BrkićQarabag (o.g.)
- 71′Ramon MachadoNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Səbail(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 12, 2022 | Sumqayıt(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 8, 2022 | Zira(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 3, 2022 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Qabala(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 9, 2022 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2022 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Zira(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Səbail(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Qarabag win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 19, 2021 | Neftchi Baku 1-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Neftchi Baku 0-6 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Feb 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy