Qarabag vs Qabala: result 4-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2018 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Qabala?
Qarabag won 4-1 on September 23, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Qabala have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2018 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2018 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 23, 2018 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2018 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Səbail(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Qarabag wins, 2 draws, 1 Qabala win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2018 | Qabala 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Qarabag 0-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Qabala 1-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Qarabag 2-1 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| May 5, 2017 | Qarabag 2-0 Qabala | Cup |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Qarabag 0-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qabala score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Qabala | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 3rd in Premyer Liqa (16 points from 6 matches) and Qabala sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Qabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Qarabag vs Qabala?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy