Qarabag vs Simurq: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 18, 2012 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Simurq?
Qarabag won 2-1 on November 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 23′R. AlmeydaQarabag
- 35′E. SüleymanovQarabag (o.g.)
- 61′Mario BozicSimurq (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Simurq have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Şüvəlan(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 31, 2012 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Bakı(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2012 | Kapaz(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Turan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 31, 2012 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 26, 2012 | Şüvəlan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 20, 2012 | İnter Bakı(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2012 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Simurq win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Simurq 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 7, 2012 | Qarabag 2-0 Simurq | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 21, 2011 | Simurq 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Simurq score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Simurq | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy