Qarabag vs Sumqayıt: result 3-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2022 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Sumqayıt?
Qarabag won 3-1 on October 16, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 55′A. AganspahićSumqayıt
- 67′R. ŞeydayevQarabag
- 73′M. QurbanlıQarabag
- 88′R. ŞeydayevQarabag (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sumqayıt have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Qabala(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 6, 2022 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Zira(away) | 7-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Səbail(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Kapaz(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sumqayıt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | Sumqayıt 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 12, 2022 | Qarabag 5-0 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Sumqayıt 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Sumqayıt 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2021 | Qarabag 2-0 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Qarabag 0-0 Sumqayıt | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sumqayıt score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sumqayıt | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Sumqayıt sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sumqayıt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy