Qarabag vs Turan: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
The Footlab AI model makes Qarabag the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Turan. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qarabag vs Turan?
Qarabag starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qarabag vs Turan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qarabag
4-2-3-1- 9Z. Sawo
- 21O. Kashchuk
- 20Kady
- 8M. Janković
- 7J. Mouaddib
- 33Diego Rosa
- 2Matheus Silva
- 5Bruno Langa
- 4B. Várkonyi
- 25Č. Makreckis
- 1Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
Turan
4-3-3- 11Diogo Balau
- 77I. Wadji
- 90Jô
- 23Álex Serrano
- 21S. Beusnard
- 8David Tavares
- 7Jorge Silva
- 33F. Damjanović
- 3Henrique
- 32H. Hurtado
- 1O. Baklov
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Turan have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 3-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Safa Baku(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zira(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Qarabag wins, 1 draw, 1 Turan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Qarabag 2-1 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Qarabag 1-0 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Turan 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Turan 1-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Qarabag 1-2 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Turan 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Turan score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.4 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Turan | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 3rd in Premyer Liqa (18 points from 8 matches) and Turan sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Turan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 15 |
A question about Qarabag vs Turan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qarabag vs Turan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Qarabag the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Turan.
- Where and when is Qarabag vs Turan played?
- Qarabag vs Turan is played on November 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.