Quebracho Villa Montes vs Independiente Petrolero: result 3-2 and analysis
Nacional B2nd RoundKick-off on November 25, 2020 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Bernardino Bilbao Rioja, Villamontes
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What was the result of Quebracho Villa Montes vs Independiente Petrolero?
Quebracho Villa Montes won 3-2 on November 25, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Quebracho Villa Montes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Independiente Petrolero have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2020 | CA Bermejo(home) | 5-1 | Nacional B |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Real Tomayapo(away) | 0-1 | Nacional B |
| Nov 16, 2020 | García Ágreda(home) | 1-0 | Nacional B |
| Nov 13, 2020 | CA Bermejo(away) | 1-2 | Nacional B |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 1-0 | Nacional B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2020 | Fancesa(home) | 2-1 | Nacional B |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Real Monteagudo(away) | 7-0 | Nacional B |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Fancesa(away) | 3-4 | Nacional B |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Real Monteagudo(home) | 4-0 | Nacional B |
How many goals should we expect?
Quebracho Villa Montes score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 6; Independiente Petrolero score 4.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quebracho Villa Montes | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Independiente Petrolero | 4.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 2/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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