Randers FC vs Aarhus: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cepheus Park Randers, Randers
The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Randers FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Randers FC vs Aarhus?
Aarhus starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Randers FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Aarhus have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-4 | Superliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Randers FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Aarhus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Randers FC 1-2 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Aarhus 1-2 Randers FC | Superliga |
| May 11, 2025 | Aarhus 1-3 Randers FC | Superliga |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Randers FC 3-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Randers FC 1-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Aarhus 2-2 Randers FC | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Randers FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randers FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Randers FC sit 8th in Superliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Aarhus sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Randers FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Randers FC vs Aarhus?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Randers FC.
- Where and when is Randers FC vs Aarhus played?
- Randers FC vs Aarhus is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cepheus Park Randers, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.