RB Leipzig vs Marseille: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 5, 2018 at 07:05 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Full time
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Marseille?
RB Leipzig won 1-0 on April 5, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′T. WernerRB Leipzig
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marseille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | Hannover 96(away) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 18, 2018 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 15, 2018 | Zenit(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 11, 2018 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 8, 2018 | Zenit(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | Dijon(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2018 | Lyon(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 15, 2018 | Athletic Club(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Toulouse(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2018 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
RB Leipzig score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 2.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Marseille | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy