Real Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 2Kick-off on June 4, 2017 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Full time
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar?
Real Garcilaso won 1-0 on June 4, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 56′D. CarandoReal Garcilaso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Garcilaso have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FBC Melgar have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2017 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 14, 2017 | Juan Aurich(home) | 7-0 | Primera División |
| May 7, 2017 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2017 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Universitario(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2017 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2017 | U. San Martin(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| May 21, 2017 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 14, 2017 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 11, 2017 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Garcilaso win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FBC Melgar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | FBC Melgar 0-0 Real Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2016 | Real Garcilaso 1-2 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2016 | Real Garcilaso 1-2 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2016 | FBC Melgar 3-1 Real Garcilaso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: FBC Melgar vs Real Garcilaso on Nov 2, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Real Garcilaso score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Melgar score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Garcilaso | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy