Real Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónLiguilla - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2016 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Full time
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar?
FBC Melgar won 1-2 on September 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′B. CuestaFBC Melgar
- 25′Carlos Ariel Neumann TorresReal Garcilaso
- 57′N. LoyolaFBC Melgar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Garcilaso have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; FBC Melgar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Juan Aurich(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Garcilaso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FBC Melgar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2016 | Real Garcilaso 1-2 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2016 | FBC Melgar 3-1 Real Garcilaso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar on Jul 23, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Real Garcilaso score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Melgar score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Garcilaso | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 17, 2016Union Comercio2-2Juan Aurich
- Sep 17, 2016Deportivo Municipal2-1Cesar Vallejo
- Sep 18, 2016Alianza Lima1-1Universitario
- Sep 18, 2016Sport Huancayo1-1UTC Cajamarca
- Sep 18, 2016Alianza Atletico2-3U. San Martin
- Sep 18, 2016Defensor LA Bocana1-2Sporting Cristal
- Sep 19, 2016Comerciantes Unidos3-1Ayacucho FC