Real Noroeste vs Vitória ES: result 2-4 and analysis
CapixabaQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 15, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha, Águia Branca, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Real Noroeste vs Vitória ES?
Vitória ES won 2-4 on March 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′Juninho PotiguarReal Noroeste
- 50′?Vitória ES
- 62′?Vitória ES
- 67′MacárioVitória ES
- 70′?Vitória ES (pen.)
- 74′Juninho PotiguarReal Noroeste (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Noroeste have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vitória ES have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitória ES(away) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 1-2 | Copa Verde |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Desportiva ES(home) | 2-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-4 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | Real Noroeste(home) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Jaguaré(home) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Noroeste win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vitória ES win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitória ES 3-1 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitória ES 2-3 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Vitória ES 2-0 Real Noroeste | Serie D |
| May 20, 2023 | Real Noroeste 0-2 Vitória ES | Serie D |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Vitória ES 2-0 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| May 4, 2022 | Real Noroeste 1-0 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste on Mar 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Noroeste score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória ES score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitória ES | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Noroeste sit 7th in Capixaba (11 points from 9 matches) and Vitória ES sit 1st (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy