Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mártires da Canhala, Caála
The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Recreativo da Caála (1,656) and 1º de Maio (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo da Caála have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Recreativo da Caála win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 1º de Maio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2018 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 14, 2018 | 1º de Maio 4-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 18, 2017 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1º de Maio 1-2 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Recreativo da Caála 2-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio on Jul 22, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo da Caála sit 9th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio played?
- Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mártires da Canhala, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.