Recreativo Huelva vs San Roque Lepe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for San Roque Lepe. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs San Roque Lepe?
Recreativo Huelva starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; San Roque Lepe have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Córdoba II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conil(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 San Roque Lepe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | San Roque Lepe 4-0 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Recreativo Huelva 1-1 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Recreativo Huelva 1-1 San Roque Lepe | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | San Roque Lepe 0-1 Recreativo Huelva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2021 | San Roque Lepe 1-1 Recreativo Huelva | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: San Roque Lepe vs Recreativo Huelva on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Roque Lepe score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| San Roque Lepe | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Roque Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs San Roque Lepe?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for San Roque Lepe.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs San Roque Lepe played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs San Roque Lepe is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.