Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sevilla III. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III?
Recreativo Huelva starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sevilla III have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Utrera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sevilla III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva 2-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sevilla III 0-2 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Recreativo Huelva 3-1 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Sevilla III 1-4 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla III score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sevilla III | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sevilla III | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 41 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sevilla III.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs Sevilla III is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.