Match

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim

Red Bull SalzburgMjallby AIF

The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mjallby AIF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF?

Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,906).

Red Bull Salzburg win61 %
Draw23 %
Mjallby AIF win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Bull Salzburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mjallby AIF have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Red Bull Salzburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026WSG Wattens(away)3-0Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2026Pafos(away)3-3UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Wolfsberger AC(away)1-1Bundesliga
Aug 6, 2026Pafos(home)1-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026TSV Hartberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Mjallby AIF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Sirius(home)4-3Allsvenskan
Aug 11, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)0-2UEFA Champions League
Aug 8, 2026IF Elfsborg(home)0-1Allsvenskan
Aug 4, 2026Slovan Bratislava(home)1-2UEFA Champions League
Jul 28, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC(away)0-0UEFA Champions League

How many goals should we expect?

Red Bull Salzburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Red Bull Salzburg2.01.349/1510/15
Mjallby AIF1.51.839/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
31Red Bull Salzburg820610156

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF?
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mjallby AIF.
Where and when is Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF played?
Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF

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