Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mjallby AIF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF?
Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Bull Salzburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mjallby AIF have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Red Bull Salzburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mjallby AIF | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Mjallby AIF.
- Where and when is Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF played?
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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