Reims vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims
The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reims vs PAU?
Reims starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reims have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Reims win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 PAU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Reims 5-3 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | PAU 2-0 Reims | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Reims score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| PAU | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reims sit 13th in Ligue 2 (2 points from 2 matches) and PAU sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | PAU | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reims vs PAU?
- The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for PAU.
- Where and when is Reims vs PAU played?
- Reims vs PAU is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Auguste-Delaune, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.