Match

Renfrew vs Gretna 2008: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

RenfrewGretna 2008

The Footlab AI model makes Renfrew the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renfrew vs Gretna 2008?

Renfrew starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,528 vs 1,365).

60%18%22%
Renfrew winDrawGretna 2008 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Renfrew vs Gretna 2008

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Renfrew

Not enough data to predict the Renfrew lineup.

Gretna 2008

Not enough data to predict the Gretna 2008 lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Renfrew have 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Gretna 2008 have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renfrew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cumnock Juniors(away)2-1Football League - Lowland League
Oct 3, 2026Broxburn Athletic(home)3-2FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(away)2-3Football League - Lowland League
Sep 23, 2026Beith(home)3-0Football League - Lowland League
Sep 16, 2026Pollok(away)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Gretna 2008
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Nairn County(away)1-0FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)5-1Football League - Lowland League
Sep 19, 2026Celtic II(home)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Sep 15, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(away)2-3Football League - Lowland League
Sep 12, 2026Pollok(home)2-3Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Renfrew score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 12; Gretna 2008 score 1.9 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renfrew1.92.7110/1211/12
Gretna 20081.93.0211/1514/15

Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renfrew sit 23rd in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 11 matches) and Gretna 2008 sit 22nd (10 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
22Gretna 200811317253310
23Renfrew11317203010

A question about Renfrew vs Gretna 2008?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renfrew vs Gretna 2008?
The Footlab AI model makes Renfrew the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Gretna 2008.
Where and when is Renfrew vs Gretna 2008 played?
Renfrew vs Gretna 2008 is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renfrew and Gretna 2008

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