Match

Renfrew vs Newton Stewart: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

RenfrewNewton Stewart

The Footlab model makes Renfrew the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renfrew vs Newton Stewart?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Renfrew (1,530) and Newton Stewart (1,470).

Renfrew win46 %
Draw22 %
Newton Stewart win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Renfrew have 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Newton Stewart have 1, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renfrew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Troon FC(away)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Celtic II(home)3-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Pollok(home)1-4Football League - Lowland League
Newton Stewart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(away)2-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Pollok(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(home)0-9Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Gretna 2008(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Clydebank(away)2-4Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 6; Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renfrew1.53.305/65/6
Newton Stewart0.83.617/1312/13

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renfrew sit 30th in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 6 matches) and Newton Stewart sit 32nd (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
30Renfrew60159201
32Newton Stewart40134181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renfrew vs Newton Stewart?
The Footlab model makes Renfrew the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newton Stewart.
Where and when is Renfrew vs Newton Stewart played?
Renfrew vs Newton Stewart is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Renfrew and Newton Stewart

Ready to know everything about football?