Ried II vs Kuchl: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Kuchl the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ried II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried II vs Kuchl?
Kuchl starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kuchl have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | LASK Juniors(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grödig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leonfelden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried II score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kuchl score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kuchl | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried II sit 2nd in Regionalliga - North (10 points from 5 matches) and Kuchl sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ried II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuchl | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried II vs Kuchl?
- The Footlab model makes Kuchl the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ried II.
- Where and when is Ried II vs Kuchl played?
- Ried II vs Kuchl is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.