Ried vs First Vienna: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for First Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ried wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs First Vienna?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Ried (1,936) and First Vienna (1,866).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ried vs First Vienna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ried
4-2-3-1- 92I. Kiese Thelin
- 22S. Schwab
- 11J. Rhodes
- 6Y. Maart
- 8M. Rasner
- 12A. Bajić
- 18F. Rossdorfer
- 28S. Chukwudi
- 30O. Steurer
- 17P. Pomer
- 1A. Leitner
First Vienna
3-4-2-1- 11Y. Soukouna
- 19F. Prohart
- 77L. Edelhofer
- 8B. Luxbacher
- 66D. Ungar
- 26M. Fillafer
- 6F. Mrzljak
- 17B. Rosenberger
- 23M. Gantschnig
- 25J. Bauer
- 1B. Unger
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; First Vienna have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 2-4 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 4-5 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-6 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ried wins, 1 draw, 1 First Vienna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Ried 1-1 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Nov 29, 2024 | First Vienna 0-1 Ried | 2. Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | First Vienna 2-1 Ried | 2. Liga |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Ried 4-1 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Ried 6-1 First Vienna | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; First Vienna score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
| First Vienna | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ried vs First Vienna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs First Vienna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ried the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for First Vienna.
- Where and when is Ried vs First Vienna played?
- Ried vs First Vienna is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.