Match

Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes: prediction and stats

NPFLMatchday 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yakubu Gowon Stadium, Port Harcourt

Rivers UnitedNiger Tornadoes

The Footlab AI model makes Rivers United the favourite at 64%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Niger Tornadoes. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Rivers United starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,627).

64%25%11%
Rivers United winDrawNiger Tornadoes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rivers United

4-3-3
  1. 31T. Zachariah
  2. 13S. Olasupo
  3. 7A. Dabai
  1. 10A. Oyowah
  2. 24W. Falolu
  3. 17C. Ugwueze
  1. 6S. Manyo
  2. 14A. Salman
  3. 5G. Innocent
  4. 35E. Akobundu
  1. 34J. Noble

Niger Tornadoes

4-3-3
  1. 20I. Sadiq
  2. 9I. Seriki
  3. 32B. Usman
  1. 14I. Okoye
  2. 15R. Mendos
  3. 17I. Abubakar
  1. 21Y. Abdulazeez
  2. 5S. Akinmoladun
  3. 3M. Aliyu
  4. 23U. Audu
  1. 13D. Julu

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rivers United have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeat; Niger Tornadoes have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rivers United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Enugu Rangers(home)1-1NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Bendel Insurance(away)1-2NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Barau FC(home)0-0NPFL
Oct 11, 2026Abia Warriors(away)0-0NPFL
Oct 4, 2026Ikorodu City(home)2-0NPFL
Niger Tornadoes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Bendel Insurance(away)1-2NPFL
Oct 30, 2026Barau FC(home)0-0NPFL
Oct 25, 2026Abia Warriors(away)1-0NPFL
Oct 18, 2026Ikorodu City(home)2-1NPFL
Oct 10, 2026Ranchers Bees(away)0-0NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rivers United wins, 0 draws, 2 Niger Tornadoes wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2026Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Rivers UnitedNPFL
Oct 1, 2025Rivers United 1-0 Niger TornadoesNPFL
Mar 8, 2025Rivers United 1-0 Niger TornadoesNPFL
Oct 21, 2024Niger Tornadoes 0-1 Rivers UnitedNPFL
May 19, 2024Rivers United 3-2 Niger TornadoesNPFL
Oct 8, 2023Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Rivers UnitedNPFL

Last archived meeting: Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rivers United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Niger Tornadoes score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rivers United1.50.878/155/15
Niger Tornadoes0.90.876/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rivers United sit 6th in NPFL (18 points from 11 matches) and Niger Tornadoes sit 11th (16 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Rivers United1146115518
11Niger Tornadoes12444101016

A question about Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The Footlab AI model makes Rivers United the favourite at 64%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Niger Tornadoes.
Where and when is Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes played?
Rivers United vs Niger Tornadoes is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yakubu Gowon Stadium, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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