Rocha vs Oriental: result 4-3 and analysis
Segunda División1st Phase - 6Kick-off on November 27, 2015 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Mario Sobrero, Rocha
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What was the result of Rocha vs Oriental?
Rocha won 4-3 on November 27, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rocha have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Oriental have 4, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | Canadian(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Progreso(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Boston River(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Atenas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | Atenas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Boston River(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Canadian(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Progreso(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rocha score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oriental score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocha | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Oriental | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Oriental | 44 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 56 | 44 | 72 |
| 9 | Oriental | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy