Rocha vs Progreso: result 3-5 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 10, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Mario Sobrero, Rocha
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What was the result of Rocha vs Progreso?
Progreso won 3-5 on December 10, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Rocha have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Progreso have 5, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Villa Teresa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | SUD America(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Tacuarembo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Tacuarembo(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Juventud(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rocha score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 9; Progreso score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocha | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 5/9 | 6/9 |
| Progreso | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy