Rocha vs Progreso: result 3-5 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 10, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Mario Sobrero, Rocha
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What was the result of Rocha vs Progreso?
Progreso won 3-5 on December 10, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Rocha have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Progreso have 5, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Villa Teresa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | SUD America(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Tacuarembo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Tacuarembo(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Juventud(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rocha score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 9; Progreso score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocha | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 5/9 | 6/9 |
| Progreso | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
A question about Rocha vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy