Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodina, Khimki
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Mashuk-KMV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva II (1,792) and Mashuk-KMV (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mashuk-KMV have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaluga(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rodina Moskva II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Mashuk-KMV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV 2-2 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II 0-0 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| May 18, 2025 | Rodina Moskva II 0-1 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Mashuk-KMV 4-0 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Mashuk-KMV 3-1 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Rodina Moskva II 1-1 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Silver |
Last archived meeting: Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mashuk-KMV score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mashuk-KMV | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva II sit 1st in Second League A - Division A Gold (11 points from 5 matches) and Mashuk-KMV sit 5th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Mashuk-KMV | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Mashuk-KMV.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV played?
- Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodina, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.