Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo: prediction and stats
Third League - SoutheastSoutheast - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Smolian
The Footlab AI model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Rodopa Smolyan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maritsa Milevo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,185 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo?
Maritsa Milevo starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,633 vs 1,448).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodopa Smolyan
4-3-3- NN. Tihomirov
- HH. Kovachev
- GG. Peltekov
- TT. Stefanov
- II. Angelov
- MM. Kisyov
- II. Karaivanov
- SS. Kikov
- AA. Belyukov
- VV. Dramaliev
- YY. Chakarov
Maritsa Milevo
Not enough data to predict the Maritsa Milevo lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodopa Smolyan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Maritsa Milevo have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv II(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Neftochimic Burgas(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletik Kuklen(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Gigant Saedinenie(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dimitrovgrad(away) | 1-5 | Third League - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Maritsa Plovdiv(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rozova dolina(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sayana Haskovo(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yambol 1915(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zagorets(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Rodopa Smolyan wins, 1 draw, 3 Maritsa Milevo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Rodopa Smolyan 0-1 Maritsa Milevo | Third League - Southeast |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Maritsa Milevo 2-0 Rodopa Smolyan | Third League - Southeast |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Rodopa Smolyan 0-0 Maritsa Milevo | Third League - Southeast |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Maritsa Milevo 1-0 Rodopa Smolyan | Third League - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodopa Smolyan score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Maritsa Milevo score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodopa Smolyan | 1.5 | 1.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Maritsa Milevo | 2.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodopa Smolyan sit 8th in Third League - Southeast (22 points from 14 matches) and Maritsa Milevo sit 3rd (34 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maritsa Milevo | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 14 | 34 |
| 8 | Rodopa Smolyan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 22 |
A question about Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maritsa Milevo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Rodopa Smolyan.
- Where and when is Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo played?
- Rodopa Smolyan vs Maritsa Milevo is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Levski KarlovovsSekirovo Rakovski
- Nov 21, 2026Maritsa PlovdivvsLokomotiv Plovdiv II
- Nov 21, 2026Atletik KuklenvsNeftochimic Burgas
- Nov 21, 2026DimitrovgradvsBotev Plovdiv II
- Nov 21, 2026Gigant SaedinenievsYambol 1915
- Nov 21, 2026Rozova dolinavsSozopol
- Nov 21, 2026Spartak PlovdivvsLevski Krumovgrad
- Nov 21, 2026Sayana HaskovovsZagorets