Roskilde vs Nykobing FC: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Roskilde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roskilde vs Nykobing FC?
Nykobing FC starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Nykobing FC have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Såby(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | B 93(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Handelsstandens(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | B 93(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skive(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Roskilde win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nykobing FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2024 | Roskilde 5-1 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Nykobing FC 0-5 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Roskilde 3-0 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Nykobing FC 1-2 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Apr 9, 2021 | Roskilde 3-1 Nykobing FC | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Nykobing FC 2-0 Roskilde | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Roskilde vs Nykobing FC on May 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nykobing FC score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Nykobing FC | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roskilde sit 4th in 2. Division (6 points from 4 matches) and Nykobing FC sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roskilde vs Nykobing FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Roskilde.
- Where and when is Roskilde vs Nykobing FC played?
- Roskilde vs Nykobing FC is played on November 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Roskilde Idrætspark, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.