Ross County vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hamilton Academical. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ross County vs Hamilton Academical?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Ross County (1,801) and Hamilton Academical (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ross County win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hamilton Academical win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2024 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Hamilton Academical 0-0 Ross County | FA Cup |
| May 12, 2021 | Ross County 2-1 Hamilton Academical | Premiership |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 Ross County | Premiership |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Ross County 0-2 Hamilton Academical | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Hamilton Academical 0-1 Ross County | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Ross County on Jul 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Hamilton Academical | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ross County sit 2nd in League One (9 points from 3 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Hamilton Academical?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Hamilton Academical.
- Where and when is Ross County vs Hamilton Academical played?
- Ross County vs Hamilton Academical is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.