Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 26Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rudar, Trbovlje
The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija?
Rudar Trbovlje starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,485 vs 1,356).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudar Trbovlje have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zidgrad Idrija have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Dob(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rudar Trbovlje win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Zidgrad Idrija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje 6-0 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Zidgrad Idrija 3-3 Rudar Trbovlje | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rudar Trbovlje score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudar Trbovlje | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudar Trbovlje sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Rudar Trbovlje | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija?
- The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija played?
- Rudar Trbovlje vs Zidgrad Idrija is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rudar, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.